FEAR WILL COST US DEAR

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THE ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL IMPACT OF FEAR

I am afraid the economy is heading off a cliff. The catalyst for this looming disaster is the huge hike in energy, fuel and food prices which are sufficiently serious enough to pull many middle class families either into, or close to, the poverty trap. For the many already in that trap these are increasingly desperate times.

I am not sure how long this will take to show up in statistical analysis but I can say with certainty it is happening now. We can argue about why this is happening and there is no doubt some of the reasons are truly global, but what is equally true is that the appalling, idiotic behaviour of Westminster has played a dominant role as well.

Folk are scared about rising inflation. As someone who got married in the late seventies and lived through crises like the three day week, in the industrial mayhem of the seventies and early eighties I believe they are right to be fearful. Inflation is a very destructive and disrupting factor, many younger readers will know nothing of just how damaging rampant inflation is. You are about to find out! We are already seeing the first stirrings of industrial unrest and in my opinion this can only grow as breadwinners NEED their wages to keep up just to put food on the table and heat in their homes. Those on fixed incomes are in a dreadful position, facing the certainty that their income will not keep up with prices AND any pension or savings they have will devalue daily as growing inflation runs rampant.

Brexit could not have happened at a worse time, despite the UK media working overtime to avoid the topic it has caused tens of billions to be lost to the UK economy, has caused significant disruption across virtually every aspect of business and has led to labour shortages in many key industries. 

The politics are no better. Despite all these mistakes by the Tory Government, the obvious mismanagement and self serving policies, many designed to enrich and reward their supporters, and themselves later down the road, there is no sign of any great upsurge in support for Labour, or indeed in Scotland, any big rise in support for Independence.

The reason for this is because neither Labour or the SNP currently offer a credible alternative narrative to the Tories. The media continue to hide the true impact of Brexit, no doubt because many in the media backed Brexit and are reluctant to admit they sold their readers a pup. 

The SNP on the other hand have chosen to keep Independence out the frontline choosing to concentrate on issues like GRA and Hate Crime legislation. Add in the super controversial sex survey for children that is backed by the Education Minister Shirley Anne Shambles and you have the perfect agenda to divide the Yes Movement while alienating women, parents and grandparents from any thoughts of Independence. Added to that the sheer incompetence of the ferry debacle, train disputes and growing wage pressures from the rest of the public sector in Scotland we had better all be hoping that Nicola is not serious about any referendum in 2023…because if she is she is setting us up for failure. A final coup de grace that will postpone Independence for decades. Any thoughts of demonstrating how an Independent Scottish Government could be much superior to Westminster has been destroyed by the incompetence being shown at Holyrood in recent times. A travesty when so much great work had been accomplished by previous SNP Governments! That is what happens when the FM appoints her pals rather than those with more ability than just nodding their heads when told to do so.

To win Independence people need to be confident about the future. The SNP suffered from the mid 1970’s onwards until the nineties because the UK was in the economic doldrums, hampered by widespread industrial unrest, factory closures and rampant inflation. The more confident people became the higher the SNP vote. Voters can be visionary when they have money in their pocket and future confidence is high. Empty pockets and low confidence is not a recipe for IndyRef success!

Another big danger is that Labour finally gets its act together and starts selling the tale that what voters need, and what can be delivered relatively quickly, is a Labour Government. If that gains any traction in England it will spread to Scotland, perhaps at a lower rate, but it would not take a lot to threaten a lot of SNP seats. What a tragedy it would be if the many years of SNP dominance only resulted in jobs and pensions for those elected instead of achieving the Independence of our nation?. Yet that is increasingly a possibility.

Tactically they have been hopelessly inept. No work has been done to build the case for Independence. Nothing on pensions, nothing on currency, nothing on Europe, nothing on EFTA. Just a litany of inaction and spurious woke inspired policy priorities. The SNP  has been performing as the Stonewall Nutters Party for the last few years. It is their priorities, not Scotland’s that have been the driving force.

The problem we have now is that big problems like inflation and the cost of living crisis have emerged and are at the top of the electorate’s priorities BUT these are issues that are outwith the competence and powers of the Scottish Government. We can provide no answers and are therefore at the mercy of a Tory Chancellor who has no interest in helping Scotland free ourself from his clutches. It is the perfect example of the lost opportunity by thinking your options improve the longer you wait. The SNP have spurned opportunity after golden opportunity and now find events happening all around them that weakens and exposes the full cost of those wasted years.

I forecast a period of growing uncertainty and unrest. Real panic spreading as people  find it impossible to feed their kids or heat their homes this winter. As foodbanks run out of food. I think in England there will be widespread riots. In Scotland I just don’t know. What will apathetic Scots do? Will they finally wake up to how they are being screwed every day? How their assets are taken away for pennies and sold back to us at extortionate rates? How we are being intentionally cut off from the rest of the World with our only access being through an unwanted middle man working the control centre in England and taking an ever increasingly bigger cut?

There seems little point in hoping unless they first recognise they need a much better leader than our current FM to lead the fight. That we need fighting leaders not snowflakes who have lost total touch with the plight and challenges so many people now face to just carry out the basics of raising their families. It is not a selfie leader we need but a selfless one!

I tell you this, they better catch on quick because when it all kicks off up here it will not be the Westminster crowd in London that will be their target it will be those up here in Holyrood who promised them “we will not sit here and allow Scotland to be dragged out the EU against our will”, who promised to defend Scotland as a priority, who have lived off promising so much and delivering hee haw! 

Difficult times ahead for the cult. If you got the feeling that I was angry when I wrote this….then you would be right!

I am, as always

Yours for Scotland.

BEAT THE CENSORS

Sadly some websites that claim to be pro Indy have turned out to be only Pro SNP sites and have sought to ban any websites that dare to question SNP Policy or tactics. They seek to avoid the public being aware that alternatives to waiting for Westminster to “grant” Scotland a Section 30 to hold a referendum exist. Issues like the flawed franchise, the Claim of Right route, the work of the SSRG and Salvo fill them with dread. As this blog promotes all routes, including alternatives I am banned from these sites and am therefore very grateful to my readers, who knowing about these efforts to ban and suppress go out of their way to subscribe and to share my articles far and wide. It is a good thing that attempts to restrict free speech and censor are defeated in this way.

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21 thoughts on “FEAR WILL COST US DEAR

  1. Like many Scots I feel deep despair and rage at the same time. I too remember the three day week, power cuts, the so called winter of discontent when weeks of household rubbish piled high in our streets, bodies lay unburied causing untold distress for families. Followed by Thatcher, closure of mines and steel works, poll tax etc etc. I fear it will be worse this time around. I truly wish Alex had stuck around to win the day. Nicoliar and the newsnp are an abomination destroying Scotland bit by bit. I can’t fathom how true Scots cannot see this. I’m utterly depressed. I believed I would go to my grave happily in an independent Scotland. Increasingly I believe I won’t.

    Liked by 13 people

    1. cruachnabeinne I feel the same. I’m old enough to remember all of the above as well. I had hoped that we would never have to go through it again, but, there you go. It speaks volumes when even the foodbanks themselves are are running out of food, A because so many more people are in need and B because folk don’t have the extra to spare to give to the foodbanks. Foodbanks themselves are an abomination in a rich country like ours. Oh for some honourable, decent, competant politicians.

      I see we are to be treated to some sort of thoughts on independence today, these carrots sure are stale now. I won’t hold my breath for any good news, If she ever manages to call one, it’ll be rigged against us winning once more. I don’t believe that I will see independence in my lifetime, so close and yet so far.

      Liked by 8 people

      1. Foodbanks in an energy rich country like ours says it all. What a sham, what an embarrassment, what a shame for those forced to use them. A crying shame. Nicoliar and her coterie of liars and sycophantic nobs are destroying hope and replacing it with fear, especially for women and children. Hatred is all I feel for her and them. I have a right to hate and I do. As for 2023 we would loose. Nothing in place, keep sterling and the english queen. It’s a joke and I’m not laughing. Ragin!

        Liked by 9 people

  2. I don’t care what organisation says that inflation has went up 8% there talking through the wrong whole in their body, in inflation has went up well ovwer 20% plus, and yes your right its going to come bumbling down on the Tories core voters and middle and lower classes.

    Liked by 10 people

  3. When you focus on Pronouns instead of Poverty the result is this!
    When you focus on Selfies instead of Scotland the result is this!
    When you focus on your next job instead of creating jobs the result is this!

    We need Independence…We don’t need Sturgeon.

    Liked by 13 people

  4. “We had better all be hoping that Nicola is not serious about any referendum in 2023…because if she is she is setting us up for failure. A final coup de grace that will postpone Independence for decades.”

    I fear it’s a lose lose situation – she might be moving forward because she has to or because she is being forced to either way I don’t trust her to deliver well either by accident or design. And she’ll stick with the losing franchise.

    “Empty pockets and low confidence is not a recipe for IndyRef success!”

    I disagree partially here. The Yes vote was highest amongst the poorest in 2014, probably because the Yes campaign gave us hope. The problem is any campaign led by Sturgeon will not inspire nor give hope.

    We can only pray that the non SNP part of the Yes movement takes control. Certainly in 2014 it did much to move the polling and RIC’s voter registration initiative increased participation in the “schemes”. But my real fear is the kind of indy Scotland the SNP will be pushing. I’m a hard Yes so I’ll vote now and change later, but few will be inspired by keep the Queen, the pound etc etc especially when they claim they want to rejoin the EU which you need your own currency for.

    Sometimes I wish a foreign resident, free from Scottish and English laws, would break the news that would bring down the nuSNP. It would be chaos for a while but the rehabilitation of Alex Salmond would mean the next ref would be in his hands. 2014 campaign had some tactical errors but I trust him to learn from them and her to repeat them.

    Liked by 12 people

    1. I’m afraid I trust her to do nothing , to waffle on until independence is a forgotten dream , to distort all that was good about the previous campaign and leave Scotland in a worse situation than ever.
      I am of a very unforgiving nature and no amount of baby boxing will persuade me that the warped SNP , as it now is , has any intention of working towards independence – given that they have had eight years to do so with the worst Westminster government in power yet Scotland is moving backwards at some pace. And now we are told they are working on some legislation – what the devil have they been doing for eight years – other than accept their pay and build their pensions?

      Liked by 13 people

    2. I had first hand experience of this. In 2014 I toured the schemes all over Scotland with Jim SILLARS on the Margo Mobile. There is no doubt these were the areas that voted more YES than any others. We did give them hope but they had the least to “risk” as things for many were already dire. Contrast that with the middle class areas, not rich but with sufficient assets to be fearful of the project fear message. In a climate of high inflation and a cost of living crisis that will be a much more effective message to the “haves” even the marginal ones, than it was in 2014.

      Liked by 11 people

  5. Excellent synopsis Iain. I also remember the hundreds of thousands of Scottish economic migrants desperately heading to the continent looking for work from the late 1970s onwards – for I was one of them. That door is closed with Brexit.

    As we can now see, a colonial administration run by a gang has nothing to offer but mystification policies and petrification when refusing to cross the final hurdle of liberation, meantime filling their pockets while the people and nation perish. What they announce today will be the usual worthless spin and drivel, talking ‘a good game’ but never delivering. ‘Hee-Haw’ richt eneuch!

    Liked by 15 people

    1. Excellent post by Iain – and a sadly accurate comment by Alf. The further this goes on, the clearer it becomes that th SNP has indeed been taken over by the enemy. A word I do not use lightly.

      Do no striking whilst the hottest of hot irons lay before them – only now when the least auspicious prospect lie before us – bring out some half-baked plans – with no work done at all on the crucial matters that need to be addressed to counter the Better-Together gang.

      Meantime the colonists continue to move in and dilute the franchise – about which nothing has been done at all. A local government franchise is fine for local government elections: it is totally inappropriate for questions of national self-determination.

      Its as if someone has planned it this way.

      They will not be forgiven.

      I doubt they’ll care!

      Liked by 11 people

  6. There has been no Referendum Bill despite all the promises prior to and since the 2021 Holyrood Election. Lots of BS about ‘blueprints’ and ‘scene setters’.

    Folks are not engaged with Yes … because they have not been engaged by the supposed leaders of the movement.

    The cause of inflation is the same as in the 1970s in that it is ‘cost-push’ but the specifics are completely different! The increase in costs are not down to greedy and reckless trad unions this time seeking massive wage increases for their own sake – this time it is supply shortages caused by Brexit plus actual energy price hikes (pre-Russian invasion of Ukraine) plus anticipated further energy price hikes (post-Russian invasion of Ukraine) that is driving price increases, soon to be in double digits.

    I believe that both the Westminster and Holyrood administrations will resort to blaming the trade union bogeyman, comparing today’s events to those of the 1970s. The Scottish Government were pointing the finger at the ScotRail unions and saying that they (and by implication others in the public sector) had to be ‘realistic’ in their expectations.

    On the restoration of Scotland’s statehood I fear that, as our many chances over the last 8 years have been not been taken, we have missed the optimum time for striking has passed.

    People are scared… are they scared enough to swap Farmer Jones in Westminster for The Pigs at Holyrood?

    Liked by 10 people

  7. I agree with pretty much everything that Iain says and also the comments. It’s a hugely depressing situation and I now cannot expect Scotland to be independent in my lifetime. I hope we will achieve that in the future for the sake of our children and for those who are struggling now.

    Liked by 6 people

  8. If only we’d had something like a National Energy Company to take some of the economic pressure off. What a pity the announcement of one was purely to get Nikla a standing ovation at conference.

    Liked by 11 people

  9. I get the feeling that the middle classes alone seem to have accepted this but with the poor families poverty has been normalized things may come to a head soon and this again will happen in London as protests are overdue and when these protests do occur all hell will break loose!

    Liked by 5 people

  10. It’s possible, now that so many people are angry, we most certainly WILL make headway. Time for Scotland to push ahead and take back independence. GOT to happen in my lifetime!

    Liked by 7 people

  11. ‘What will apathetic Scots do?’ the article asks. Hopefully they’ll take on board the same positive words and attitude of Jan COWAN when she says, ‘ . .we most certainly WILL make headway. Time for Scotland to push ahead and take back independence. GOT to happen in my lifetime! Well said Jan, thankyou.

    Liked by 3 people

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